Tropical Update – Nana Makes Landfall, Omar Fizzles
The past 48 hours have been quite busy in the tropical Atlantic Basin. In that time we've seen two areas of disturbed weather earn names. One of those storms has now made landfall while the other has weakened into a tropical depression. Meanwhile further out in the Atlantic two tropical waves are being monitored by the National Hurricane Center for further development.
Hurricane Nana, now Tropical Storm Nana made landfall in Belize just a few hours ago. The storm crossed the coast as a minimal category 1 storm on the Saffir-Simpson scale. The forecast track for Nana carries through the small nation of Belize and into Guatemala. From there the storm system should weaken further as it moves across extreme southern Mexico and eventually into the Pacific Ocean as a tropical depression.
Tropical Storm Omar is currently located well north of the island of Bermuda. The storm has weakened considerably since yesterday and is being torn apart by rather strong wind shear in the upper levels of the atmosphere. Omar is expected to be relegated to remnant low status later today.
One of those systems, just off the African coast has been given a 70% probability of strengthening into a tropical cyclone over the next five days. Should that system earn a name it would be called Paulette. Guidance from the Hurricane Center suggests that this system will move slowly westward over the weekend and could be poised to present problems for the outer islands of the Caribbean Sea by next week.
As far as the Gulf of Mexico is concerned. Things should be quiet over the next few days. I think we can all agree that is something we will not take for granted.